Will Yemi Osinbajo dump APC if he fails to clinch presidential ticket?
It took Bola Tinubu's camp by surprise when the Vice President of Nigeria, Prof Yemi Osinbajo, declared for the presidency on Monday morning after a brief meeting with some governors.
VP, however prior conjectured, was the last individual many Yoruba indigenes suspected would conflict with a man who purportedly handpicked him for the VP position.
As the 2023 political race draws near, Nigerians are yawning for a genuine nationalist who might end their ongoing anguish.
Osinbajo had been speculated for years to be continuing with the administration being headed by Mr Muhammadu Buhari whom many Nigerians had ruled out as a "complete failure".
Osinbajo's declaration helped Nigerians remember the eight years of agony they would have zero desire to rehash.
Nigerians were enraged when the VP promised to "complete what we have started", with some calling it a threat to Nigerians' survival.
"If by the grace of God and the will of the people, I am given the opportunity, then I believe that first, we must complete what we have started," reads the declaration statement of the presidential hopeful.
The declaration stares up many rumours that Osinbajo had fallen out of love with the Chieftain of the All Progressives Congress, Bola Ahmed Tinubu.
Being the vice president of Nigeria, Osinbajo has an edge to clinch the All Progressives Congress (APC) presidential ticket; however, will Nigerians allow him to "complete what we have started?"
Osinbajo could be a superior fit for Nigeria with his resume. For a couple of times, Buhari handover power during his clinical excursion to the United Kingdom, the VP showed that his thoughts were not quite the same as his chief.
His ongoing enemy remains the massive failure of the administration. Though Buhari influenced the VP's activities over the eight years, he will confront an aggregate liability regarding what occurred during Buhari's presidency.
Will Osinbajo defect to another political party to achieve his political aspiration? Is there friction between Osinbajo and Tinubu? Will he step down or face the APC Chieftain heads-on at the party primary?
Is there friction between Osinbajo and Tinubu?
A source at the presidency denied friction, saying that "The more we have party members declaring, the more guarantee we will have a competitive election."
The source also condemned the idea of calling Osinbajo Mr Tinubu's son, arguing that "The VP marked his 65th birthday on 8 March and Asiwaju marked his own 70th birthday on 29 March. It doesn't make sense for a 70-year-old man to be called the father of a 65-year-old man.
The presidential source added, "I don't see any conflict. Asiwaju was correct to say he didn't have a son grown enough to declare for the presidency."
"Tinubu's first son Seyi is in his 30s, and he has not declared. VP is a grandfather, and it is most condescending to describe VP as Asiwaju's son," he added.
"It is nothing personal. In a circumstance like this, supporters sometimes overreact or try to create something where none exists.
Will Osinbajo defect to another political party to achieve his political aspiration?
The political framework in Nigeria is unsound. Politicians defect the second they don't get what they need. They think they deserve it and would desperately do anything to get their hands on the ticket. This makes them unsurprising, temperamental, deceitful, and complete "backstabbers."
There are hypotheses and fears that Osinbajo might toe a similar path, assuming he fails to run under APC. However, a close ally who spoke in anonymity does not think so.
He thinks Osinbajo is a "decent man" who would support Tinubu if he doesn't clinch the ticket.
He said, "He announced his candidacy, and they will go for the party primary. He will test his popularity just like Bola Asiwaju."
"When you are bidding for a party ticket, once a candidate emerges, all party members are expected to rally around that choice ahead of the election. I don't see the VP defecting from the party if the outcome does not favour him. the VP is too decent; he is not desperate for office," the source said.
Notwithstanding the cross country disappointment, Buhari actually has followers in the party who might uphold whomever he upholds. Will Mr Buhari back his 8-year ardent loyalist or a political partner who relinquished his official goal on the guarantee that he could be next?
Since January, there have been at least 20 declarations on the ruling party, and all the aspirants consulted with Mr Buhari.
A second source said, "There is a lot of names dropping going on. Asiwaju declared in January, and after he was Rochas Okorocha, then Uzo Kalu, David Umahi, Amaechi, Osinbajo, Fayemi and Senator Amosun have all declared.
"Everybody tells you they have already informed the President, and as a leader, he shouldn't be seen overtly supporting anybody.
"That is what some of the candidates do in order to give themselves credibility; they claim they are the President's candidates."
Nigeria is strictly religious, significantly split among Christians and Muslims. The duo's choice would assist the cracks between these two religions.
Nigerians are reluctant to support Tinubu as a result of his age, supposed medical issues and his political party, and they are hesitant toward Osinbajo in view of the administration and the party he represents.
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